no rapid warming
by Jarl Ahlbeck
I never wrote "no warming", I wrote "no rapid warming", or "no significant warming". There is nothing wrong with the year 1998! But it would have been a little misleading to start the diagram from 1998, so I started from 1995 when the M.t Pinatubo effect had faded away.. A strong El Nino occured in 1998, but the Southern Oscillation is a random walk and we amateurs cannot start to "correct" temperature numbers for every natural variations that we do not know enough about. The famous greenhouse guru Kevin Trenberth wrote after 1998 that greenhouse gases are causing stronger El Ninos than before! After 1998 many newspapers presented predicted temperature curves where future temperatures rocketed out out the paper to the upper right. I tested the long-term SOI index by simple statistical standard computer programs. No clear periodicity or trend was found. Just random walk. Btw your "rating" does not interest me at all. I think you Jay K. should concentrate on the substance a little more! I am more intrested in how much or how little climate change is caused by human activity. I do not "want to believe" anything, I only want to know. Once I had to listen to communist propaganda. Many greenhouse stories today sound in my ears as more of the same.
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by Jarl Ahlbeck
I never wrote "no warming", I wrote "no rapid warming", or "no significant warming". There is nothing wrong with the year 1998! But it would have been a little misleading to start the diagram from 1998, so I started from 1995 when the M.t Pinatubo effect had faded away.. A strong El Nino occured in 1998, but the Southern Oscillation is a random walk and we amateurs cannot start to "correct" temperature numbers for every natural variations that we do not know enough about. The famous greenhouse guru Kevin Trenberth wrote after 1998 that greenhouse gases are causing stronger El Ninos than before! After 1998 many newspapers presented predicted temperature curves where future temperatures rocketed out out the paper to the upper right. I tested the long-term SOI index by simple statistical standard computer programs. No clear periodicity or trend was found. Just random walk. Btw your "rating" does not interest me at all. I think you Jay K. should concentrate on the substance a little more! I am more intrested in how much or how little climate change is caused by human activity. I do not "want to believe" anything, I only want to know. Once I had to listen to communist propaganda. Many greenhouse stories today sound in my ears as more of the same.
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