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Results for tag:by Daniel Wagner

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Why Past Performance is Fast Becoming Worth Ignoring

Published 01.04.2017
How many times in the recent past have pollsters, stock pickers, and political prognosticators been wrong – even spectacularly wrong – in their predictions, having relied upon history and past performance to attempt to predict the future? The...

The World’s Airports and Airlines Need More Human Intelligence

Published 25.03.2017
This week’s restrictions on larger electronic devices in carry-on luggage from many of the Middle East and North Africa’s largest airports by the governments of the US and UK is an effort at making it more difficult for terrorists to attempt to...

Globalization and the Rise of “Smart” Protectionism

Published 15.03.2017
Globalization was intended to eliminate borders for the benefit of the free flow of trade, investment, information and people. It has had a good degree of success in accomplishing that, but the blowback from the globalization process has had a...

Malaysia’s Future Role in Saudi Arabia’s Islamic Military Alliance

Published 10.03.2017
Saudi King Salman is currently on a three-week tour across six Asian countries. The duration of the trip underscores the commercial and geopolitical importance which Saudi Arabia attributes to Asia. It comes at a time when the kingdom is...

Trump Should Tackle America’s Infrastructure Crisis Head On

Published 19.02.2017
This weekend’s mandatory evacuation order for residents downstream from California’s Oroville Dam is a reminder of what a perilous state so much of America’s infrastructure is in. In 2005,  three environmental groups filed a motion with the...

Rising Political Risk in Asia

Published 06.02.2017
As the world continues to gyrate from the political paradigm shift under way with the rise of ‘alternative’ political movements, many countries will struggle to adjust to the ‘new normal’. For developing nations and emerging markets, the stakes...

The Pending U.S.-Russia Reset: Birth of a New Business Model?

Published 26.01.2017
Certain guiding principles have proven instrumental in shaping our views of the world. Among them, for many Americans and Russians, is the belief that Russia and the U.S. are natural enemies, and will remain so. For many, that perspective did...

2017: The Beginning of the Era of Disruption

Published 02.01.2017
In this era of dramatic, rampant, and incessant political change, predictions about the future can no longer be based either on conventional wisdom or historical precedent. We are, after all, in the middle of a paradigm shift that is shredding...

2017 Promises to be a Year of Unprecedented Risk

Published 17.12.2016
There is no denying that 2016 was a year filled with significant and tangible unanticipated events in the political, economic and security realms. Whether considering Trump’s election, the first OPEC output cut in 8 years, or the resurgence of...

Trump’s Foreign Policy Under Tillerson And Bolton

Published 14.12.2016
With the presumed designation of Exxon Mobil CEO Rex Tillerson as Secretary of State, and former U.S. Ambassador to the UN John Bolton as Deputy Secretary of State, Donald Trump will be sending a clear message to the world: the U.S. is open for...

Can the Iranian Nuclear Deal Survive the Trump Presidency?

Published 06.12.2016
Donald Trump’s shocking victory will bear important, albeit unclear, implications for a variety of America’s bilateral relationships, few more important than its relationship with Iran and the impact that may have on the Joint Comprehensive Plan...

Implications Of The U.S. Withdrawal From The TPP

Published 26.11.2016
President-Elect Trump’s threat to withdraw the U.S. from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) should be taken seriously, despite how mercurial he has already proven to be in failing to follow through on a variety of other campaign promises....

Trump and the Coming Death of Multilateralism

Published 12.11.2016
It is truly odd that the U.S. and global stock markets actually rose in the days following the election of Donald Trump as president, as if a few passing pro-business comments by the president-elect and prospect of a pro-business administration...

History Is No Longer An Accurate Guide To The Future

Published 08.10.2016
We have become accustomed to presuming that what has happened in the past will give us a good idea of what may happen in the future, whether in determining insurance premiums, stock market movements, or the outcome of political referendums. That...

China’s Zero Sum Vision Of The World

Published 17.09.2016
The emergence of a new global power has often profoundly shifted the geopolitical landscape and caused considerable discomfort among the established order. China’s economic and political resurgence is doing that, but apart from the inevitable...