Aug 14th 2012

Was Romney’s Ryan Pick Bold or Desperate?

by Robert Creamer

Robert Creamer is a long-time political organizer and strategist and author of the recent book: "Stand Up Straight: How Progressives Can Win," available on amazon.com.
Since Mitt Romney named Paul Ryan as his running-mate on Saturday, right wing pundits have done their best to frame his pick as a “bold” choice.  In fact, it appears to have been a choice born of the dawning realization at Romney’s high command, that his political situation was becoming increasingly desperate.
 
And the notion that Ryan himself is a “bold visionary” is nothing more than sheer fantasy – unless, of course, your “vision” of the future is the “Gilded Age”.
 
Before the announcement, conventional wisdom held that Romney would make a safe, boring choice for Vice President – somebody like Tim Pawlenty or Rob Portman.  The thought was that he would be cautious, both because he is, by nature, a cautious kind of guy – and because he was doing well enough that he didn’t want to make the a rash move that could blow up the way McCain’s decision to enlist Sarah Palin as his running mate exploded four years ago. 
 
But let’s face it, Romney was having a terrible summer. According to Nate Silver’s 538.com – the most sophisticated forecasting model around – Romney’s chance of winning this fall had dropped to under 30%.  His Las Vegas odds – and odds on the Intrade political market – weren’t much better.
 
Romney’s foreign trip was a disaster.  As much as anything it demonstrated that he lacks the most important single trait of successful political leaders: empathy.  Romney seems constitutionally incapable of putting himself in other people’s shoes.  He launched his expedition to Europe and Israel to demonstrate that he was a capable statesman, and looked instead like a bull in a china closet – insulting everyone in sight. Worse yet he looked out of his depth – like a student who was allowed to create his own SAT test and still failed to pass.  Or, as former White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs put it – he looked like a guy who struck out at T-Ball.
 
His refusal to release his tax returns has continued to focus attention on Romney’s wealth – and the fact that in the one full year of returns he has opened to public scrutiny, he paid only a 13.9% effective tax rate makes it look like he plays by a different set of rules than ordinary mortals.  Matters got worse when the a non-partisan Brookings Institute Study found that his tax “reform” plan would increase the taxes of 95% of Americans, and give him – and millionaires like him – hundreds of thousands of additional tax breaks.
 
Romney’s history of outsourcing American jobs, his record at Bain Capital, his Swiss Bank Accounts and cash in the Caymans, have all begun to convince persuadable voters that he just isn’t on their side.  And it has become apparent that the more voters learn about his record as Governor of Massachusetts – 47th out of 50 in job creation – his claims to be an effective job creator were just so much hot air.
 
And finally there was the indisputable fact that Romney seems incapable of relating to ordinary Americans and their lives (e.g. “corporations are people too”, “Ann drives two Cadillacs”, “I love firing people”, etc.).
 
That’s not to say that Romney doesn’t still have a lot of chips on his side of the table.  The long recovery from the Great Recession – which was, of course, caused by precisely the same policies that Romney would like to revive – presents a headwind for President Obama.  And that headwind has been amplified by Republicans in Congress who have intentionally sabotaged the American economy for their own political advantage -- doing everything in their power to prevent passage of the infrastructure and jobs programs that independent analysts say would have created at least another million jobs.  
 
And, of course, there is the advantage bestowed by the unprecedented tsunami of money with which multi- millionaires like the Koch brothers and Sheldon Adelson hope to buy the outcome of the election.
 
In fact, a good case can be made that Romney still has a pretty good chance of beating the odds in November.  But the Romney campaign – and its super wealthy right wing supporters -- were starting to panic.  And the forces that wanted to bet the ranch on a real, radical right-wing take over of American government used that panic to successfully promote their choice of most right wing Vice Presidential candidate since 1900.  They convinced the campaign high command to double down on the view that this election is ultimately about mobilizing their base – and, they argued no one could do that better than Paul Ryan.
 
Ryan’s choice must have been controversial among Romney’s advisors.  Medicare is enormously popular in America – especially among senior citizens who make up a disproportionate percentage of the vote in swing states like Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa and Nevada.  Ryan is – after all – the leader of the movement that no kidding around, wants to abolish Medicare as we know it.  Presumably they believe that they can spend enough to confuse older voters into believing something different.  Don’t bet on it.
 
And the leaders of the Republican National Congressional Committee must be furious.  The choice of Ryan will nationalize the race for Congress and bring new focus on the dominant theme of many critical house races: Medicare, Medicare, Medicare.   It will also, allow President Obama to run against the physical embodiment of the obstructionist Republican Congress that has about a 15% approval rating.  It will make it easy for the Obama team to make the politically toxic Ryan budget a centerpiece of the race.  And, finally, perhaps most important, it virtually guarantees that the race will ultimately be viewed by many voters as a choice not simply a referendum on Obama’s performance or the economy.
 
But one thing is clear.  By choosing Ryan, Romney proved once and for all, that if he wins, right wing strategist Grover Norquist will have what he says wants: a President who has enough digits to sign whatever the Tea Party gang in Congress passes – a guy with no core values of his own who is perfectly willing to be led around by a ring in his nose to do whatever his right wing backers and the passionate partisans of the radical Tea Party in Congress demand of him.
 
Romney’s choice of Ryan proved beyond the shadow of a doubt that Mitt Romney will never revert to his “moderate” former self if he were elected President.  He, Paul Ryan, the Tea Party and his billionaire contributors will try to fundamentally transform America into a plutocracy that is of, by and for a tiny number of very wealthy families.
 
And the notion that Paul Ryan is a “bold visionary” – as his book  “Young Guns” would have us believe -- is simply laughable.
 
Is it “bold” to abolish Medicare, convert it into a voucher program, and raise the annual out of pocket health care spending of a senior citizen making $14,000 or $15,000 a year by $4,000 – just so you can give hundreds of thousands of dollars of additional tax breaks to the wealthiest people in America?  Outrageous, but not “bold” – unless you think that it’s “bold” for a street thug to steal a senior citizen’s purse – or a juice loan operator to prey on low income customers who are desperate for credit.
 
Robinhood was bold.  “Romneyhood” is not.  “Romneyhood” is about the strong victimizing the weak.  That’s not “bold”; that’s brazen.
 
And if you think abolishing Medicare is “visionary”, think again.  Republicans have been trying to get rid of Medicare since they opposed its passage in 1965.  It was former House Speaker Newt Gingrich who said he hoped it would “wither on the vine” two decades ago. 
 
Paul Ryan’s plan does not represent the future.  He represents the values and policies of the robber barons of the late 19th century.  He wants to go back to the discredited idea that tax cuts for the rich will trickle down to the rest of us – to the notion that we should allow the Wall Street Banks to run wild – ideas that caused the greatest financial collapse in 60 years and threatened the very existence of the American middle class.  Ryan and Romney are not “bold visionaries” – they are the “Go Back Team” that wants to return us to the warmed over, failed policies of the past.
 
And Ryan represents something even worse.  Romney is an unprincipled, willing vessel for any policy or position that will help him succeed – in business or in politics.  Ryan is a true believer.  He is a devotee of the radical libertarian philosophy that believes the highest value is selfishness – that greed is good – that society is better off, if first and foremost, we all look out for ourselves regardless of the consequences for everyone else. 
 
Over the weekend, the American Values Network put out a video and web site that demonstrates graphically the philosophy of the “visionary” Paul Ryan.  It includes footage of Paul Ryan praising the work of philosopher, author and libertarian icon, Ayn Rand, who died several years ago.
 
 Ryan says that “Ayn Rand, more than anyone else, did a fantastic job explaining the morality of capitalism, the morality of individualism…..If Ayn Rand were here today, I think she would do a great job in showing us just how wrong what government is doing, is.”
 
That footage follows excerpts from a famous Mike Wallace interview of Rand.    
In the Wallace interview, he asked Rand:
 
“Christ, and every other important moral leader in man’s history, has taught us that we should love one another.  Why then is this kind of love, in your mind, immoral?”
 
Rand responds, “It is immoral if it is placed above one’s own self.”
Ayn Rand says:
“What I am fighting is the idea that charity is a moral duty.”
“You love only those who deserve it.”
“Nobody has ever given a reason why man should be his brothers’ keeper.”

In his interview, Wallace asks Rand:   “You are out to destroy almost every edifice in contemporary American life – our Judeo-Christian religion, our modified government-regulated capitalism, rule by the majority will.  Other reviewers say that you scorn churches and the concept of God – are they accurate criticisms?”
 
Rand responds, “yes.”
 
Barack Obama and most Americans believe that we’re all in this together.  Paul Ryan and his sponsor Mitt Romney believe we’re all in this alone.
 
Barack Obama and most Americans believe we are our brother and sister’s keepers.  Most Americans believe that commitment to others, and devotion to our families, our community, our nation and to all of human kind, define what we mean by right and wrong.  Most Americans believe that we will succeed or fail together as a nation.  Most Americans believe in the military ethic that you never leave anyone behind.
 
Ryan and Romney believe that one’s highest calling is his own success – no matter what the consequence for anyone else.  
 
Those are exactly the values manifest in the stories of the workers who lost their jobs, their health insurance, and their pensions because Romney and his fellow investors at Bain Capital bought their companies, loaded them with debt, bled them dry to pay their fees and left them in bankruptcy while they walked away with millions.
 
They are the same values that lead Romney and Ryan to propose abolishing Medicare in order to fund additional tax breaks for themselves and the top 2% of the population.
 
Romney’s choice of Ryan is not bold at all, but it makes the choice facing America this fall crystal clear.
 
The election this fall is the most important single battle for the heart and soul of America that I have seen in the 45 years I have been involved in progressive politics.  This election, no one is mincing words.  We face a clear choice between two alternative visions of the kind of country we want to leave to our children.
 
Republican strategist chose Paul Ryan because they bet they could win this election by mobilizing their base.  They believe that progressives – and many of those who were inspired by Barack Obama in 2008 will be dispirited and uninvolved in 2012.  In the next 85 days, it’s up to us to prove them wrong.
 

Browse articles by author

More Current Affairs

Aug 20th 2023
EXTRACT: "Since the end of World War II, the United Nations has been the cornerstone of the international rules-based order. While numerous other international agreements address issues such as chemical weapons, biological warfare, and regional stability, the UN has been entrusted with the overarching role of maintaining global peace and stability. What made it effective, at least for a while, was the support of the world’s liberal democracies and, crucially, the unwavering commitment of both Democratic and Republican administrations in the United States." ---- "That all changed with the Bush administration’s decision to invade Iraq, a sovereign country, in the face of fierce international opposition and without the UN Security Council’s approval. In doing so, the US severely damaged its own credibility and undermined the global rules-based system,... "Many of America’s current domestic political divisions grew out of the Iraq War. Whereas presidents like Franklin Roosevelt, Harry Truman, and Dwight Eisenhower demonstrated that effective leaders can make the world a safer and better place, even in the face of great adversity, Bush’s presidency showed that the opposite is equally true."
Aug 20th 2023
EXTRACTS: "a period of parliamentary history between 1719 and 1772 called 'the age of liberty'. This marked the end of autocratic monarchy and the beginning of an era of parliamentary power " ---- "This was a period of large-scale legislative projects and freedom of speech became central to the idea of freedom from tyranny. The most important piece of legislation was the Freedom of the Press Act of 1766, a law that aimed to protect freedom of information as a means of promoting democracy. It has been amended since but its tenets remain the same. " ---- "Describing Muslims, to allude to the situation of the Qur’an burnings, as criminals would be criminal. But to burn the Qur’an is in itself not, according to the current formulation of the law, an attack on Muslims. It is rather seen as an attack on the religion of Islam. Such attacks are not illegal because the aim of the attack is not directed against a protected group of people but against a belief – an idea. That is not illegal."
Aug 18th 2023
EXTRACTS: "But if the dollar should lose its privileged place, what could replace it? At present, the euro, which accounts for 20% of global central-bank reserves, is the only currency that could realistically serve as a substitute. Its appeal, however, is undermined by the fragmentation of Europe’s national sovereign-debt markets, as well as lingering doubts about the European Union’s long-term viability in the wake of the UK’s departure.'" ---- "The Chinese renminbi, which accounts for less than 3% of global reserves, is not a serious threat to dollar hegemony. "
Aug 12th 2023
EXTRACT: "Around the world, supply is struggling to keep up with demand. Inflation remains stubbornly high, despite aggressive interest-rate hikes. The global workforce is aging rapidly. Labor shortages are ubiquitous and persistent. These are just some of the forces behind the productivity challenge facing the global economy. And it has become increasingly clear that we must harness artificial intelligence to address that challenge."
Aug 2nd 2023
EXTRACTS: "What explains the tenacity of Trump’s support? The force of his arguments is unlikely to be the key, because he makes few coherent arguments." ---- "The Trumpist bubble is deeply mired in pessimism. Some 89% of the GOP think the US is in steep decline, ...." ---- "There are several reasons for popular anxiety. Many American industrial workers feel left behind in a global economy where cheaper labor is sought overseas." --- "Trump has been a master at manipulating these conspiratorial anxieties," ---- "What is perhaps most important is that Trump, despite his success in stacking the Supreme Court with religious radicals, has not captured most of the elites, as Hitler did. "
Jul 19th 2023
EXTRACTS: "Little wonder then that Crimea has been heavily militarised since Russia’s illegal annexation of the peninsula in March 2014 – or that Russian troops there have increasingly been threatened by different anti-Putin partisan groups. These include both Russian volunteers and indigenous Crimean Tatars who have become more active since the start of the Ukrainian counteroffensive."
Jul 19th 2023
EXTRACT: "Prigozhin’s fighters would not have been able to travel almost a thousand kilometers (621 miles) within Russian territory in less than a day without help from members of Putin’s inner circle or the military. Rumors are swirling that the billionaire brothers Yuri and Mikhail Kovalchuk may have played a role. The Kovalchuks, close associates of Putin, reportedly share Prigozhin’s belief that Russia has not been forceful enough in the war or in its broader confrontation with the West. Another possible collaborator is General Sergei Surovikin. Like Prigozhin, Surovikin has reportedly advocated a far more brutal war effort than Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu seems willing to conduct. Since the mutiny, he has not been seen in public, and is said to be “resting.” "
Jul 19th 2023
EXTRACTS:" While Western experts continue to view Russia as a modern state, they overlook the fact that Putin’s cronies, who represent the mingling of the security services – particularly the FSB, the successor to the Soviet-era KGB – and organized crime, control most state functions as their private domains." .... "The existence of multiple private armies will make these power games more destabilizing. As a commentator on RIA Novosti, Russia’s official news agency, put it after documenting the private armies of several oil companies: “[W]e are on the verge of a major increase in corporate and other paramilitary structures, as well as major changes in the very approach to the use of military force.” Against this backdrop, the Russian army has become another gang vying for power and property. But as the Kremlin’s grip on power slips, Russia’s generals will likely organize a putsch against Putin and his KGB/FSB cronies – the army’s historical rival."
Jul 16th 2023
EXTRACTS: "The fuel inside nuclear reactors needs continuous, active cooling for many months after a reactor shutdown" ..... "The world saw in dramatic fashion in Fukushima, Japan, in 2011 what can happen when continuous, active cooling of nuclear reactors is disrupted. More than 70% of the total radioactivity at the Fukushima power plant was in the spent fuel ponds" .... "In his classic 1981 book Nuclear Radiation in Warfare, Nobel Peace Prize-winning physicist Joseph Rotblat documented how 'in a pressurised water reactor, the meltdown of the core could occur within less than one minute after the loss of coolant'. The radioactivity released from damaged spent fuel ponds could be even greater than from a meltdown at the reactor itself, he wrote. His study makes clear that a military attack on a reactor or spent fuel pond could release more radioactivity – and longer-lasting radioactivity – than even a large (megaton range) nuclear weapon."
Jul 6th 2023
EXTRACT: "The closer we get to the endgame, the greater the risk that the Kremlin will resort to some irrational act like ordering the use of a nuclear weapon. Prigozhin’s revolt offers a preview of the chaos that awaits. Almost anything is conceivable now, from the disintegration of the Russian Federation to the rise of another ultra-nationalist regime with neo-czarist dreams of imperial restoration. Like Putin’s Russia, this one would remain locked in the past, far removed from any prospect of social, political, or economic modernization. It would pose a permanent threat to Europe’s eastern flank, and to global stability more broadly. We will have to arm ourselves against it, and our grandchildren and great-grandchildren will most likely have to do the same."
Jun 27th 2023
EXTRACT: "So, who might seize the throne? Two obvious possibilities are Nikolai Patrushev, the secretary of Russia’s Security Council, and his son Dmitry, the minister of agriculture. Another is Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin, who deliberately appeared on television hard at work during the crisis, while Putin reportedly flew to safety in Valdai, far from the Kremlin. Then there is Dyumin, as well as Moscow’s Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, who controls his own powerful armed force."
Jun 25th 2023
EXTRACT: "......because Prigozhin and his men enjoy the supportof many Russians. For them, Prigozhin is a hero, not a traitor, because he is one of the only public figures who dares to speak the truth about the Kremlin’s incompetent management of the war. And they also see in him a fatherly commander standing up for the soldiers whose lives are being thrown away needlessly by Putin’s clumsy, corrupt generals. People who think this way may well make up a very large part of Russian society. Whether Prigozhin ultimately is imprisoned, executed, or victorious, he will remain an icon for them."
Jun 25th 2023
EXTRACT: "While it might be tempting to conclude that the gut microbes identified as being associated with signs of preclinical Alzheimer’s are also contributing to developing the disease, the study does not provide any evidence of a cause-and-effect relationship. However, if a connection can be established, it opens up an exciting possibility that future treatments for Alzheimer’s might target the microbes in our gut."
Jun 18th 2023
EXTRACT: "When it comes to sustainability, however, US fiscal policy receives a low score. Amid the short-term fluctuations, it is often easy to lose sight of the long-term trajectory. Public debt, as a share of GDP, peaked at the end of World War II and then gradually declined until the Reagan tax cuts of the 1980s, which led to record deficits. Since then, the debt-to-GDP ratio has steadily risen, almost reaching its 1946 record in 2020. Only during the period 1996-2000, under President Bill Clinton, did this trend temporarily reverse."
Jun 14th 2023
EXTRACT: "It is by no means clear that the latest banking crisis has run its course. There are concerns about the so-called shadow banking system, largely unregulated financial institutions that now make up half of all global financial assets. For example, in the US many people invest in money market funds, which pay higher interest than banks, but provide no deposit insurance."
Jun 9th 2023
EXTRACT: "Given the scale of the ECB’s bond holdings, however, its approach to quantitative tightening (QT) seems downright homeopathic. At the current rate, bringing the asset-purchase program to zero will take roughly 15 years (and this does not even account for the fact that the ECB continues to reinvest all maturing assets purchased under the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program). "
Jun 9th 2023
EXTRACT: "Hardly a week goes by without various pioneers in artificial intelligence issuing dire warnings about the technology that they introduced to the world." ---- " I have my doubts. Since the start of my professional life in the 1980s (and of course for much longer), technological progress has repeatedly been held up as a major threat to jobs in key industries such as automobile manufacturing. Yet...."
May 31st 2023
EXTRACT: "In discussions about the implications of artificial intelligence (AI), someone almost always evokes the ancient Greek myth of Pandora’s box. In the modern fairytale version of the story, Pandora is depicted as a tragically curious young woman who opens a sealed urn and inadvertently releases eternal misery on humankind. Like the genie that has escaped the bottle, the horse that has fled the barn, and the train that has left the station, the myth has become a cliché. And yet the actual story of Pandora is far more apropos to debates about AI and machine learning than many realize. What it shows is that it is better to listen to “Prometheans” who are concerned about humanity’s future than “Epimetheans” who are easily dazzled by the prospect of short-term gains. One of the oldest Greek myths, the story of Pandora was first recorded more than 2,500 years ago, in the time of Homer. In the original telling, Pandora was not some innocent girl who succumbed to the temptation to open a forbidden jar. Rather, as the poet Hesiod tells us, Pandora was “made, not born.” Having been commissioned by all-powerful Zeus and designed to his cruel specifications by Hephaestus, the god of invention, Pandora was a lifelike android created to look like a bewitching maiden. Her purpose was to entrap mortals as a manifestation of kalos kakon: “evil hidden in beauty.”
May 31st 2023
EXTRACT: "Specifically, many believe that the arrival of artificial general intelligence (AGI) – an AI that can teach itself to perform any cognitive task that humans can do – will pose an existential threat to humanity. A carelessly designed AGI (or one governed by unknown “black box” processes) could carry out its tasks in ways that compromise fundamental elements of our humanity. After that, what it means to be human could come to be mediated by AGI."
May 29th 2023
EXTRACT: "In his 2018 book Destined For War, political scientist Graham Allison observes that the US and China are headed toward what he called the “Thucydides’ Trap,” a reference to the ancient Greek historian’s account of Sparta’s efforts to suppress the rise of Athens, which ultimately culminated in the Peloponnesian War. A better analogy, however, is the message sent by the Athenians to the inhabitants of the besieged island of Melos before executing the men and enslaving the women and children: “The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must." ---- Allowing China and other authoritarian countries to shape the rules would result in a world order based solely on this “realist” principle. It is a nightmare scenario that the G7 countries and other liberal democracies must strive to prevent. ---- China’s assertions about the decline of the West reveal an underlying anxiety. After all, if liberal democracy is failing, why do Chinese officials consistently express their fear of it? The fact that leaders of the Communist Party of China have instructed rank-and-file members to engage in an “intense struggle” against liberal-democratic values indicates that they view open societies as an existential threat."