Jan 24th 2017

Donald Trump’s “Big Con”

by Robert Creamer

Robert Creamer is a long-time political organizer and strategist and author of the recent book: "Stand Up Straight: How Progressives Can Win," available on amazon.com.
 
 
 
In 1973, Robert Redford and the late Paul Newman starred in the Academy Award winning movie, “The Sting.”  It was a story about how two professional grifters conned a mob boss – an exploit they referred to as their “big – or long - con.” You might remember “The Sting” because Marvin Hamlisch revived Scott Joplin’s ragtime classic, “the Entertainer” as its theme song.
 
But the movie also offered great insight into the modus operandi of our new President, Donald Trump – and his own “big con.”
 
A con man picks out a “mark” – in Trump’s case, ordinary working people who have not seen their incomes go up in decades.  
 
Then he “plays” the mark.  He wins the “mark’s” confidence – hence the name “con man.”  He creates a plausible scenario to get the mark to willingly part with his money – and in Trump’s case – their votes and then their money.
 
The “sting” itself refers to the moment when the con is successful.  And if he has done it well, “the mark” does not realize he’s been conned until the con men are long gone.
 
Great con men operate like magicians. 
 
Magicians generally employ several distinct phases of activity to create their illusions.
 
First, the magician tells you what he is going to do – so you begin to expect to see what will actually be an illusion.
 
Second, the magician creates an elaborate preparation for the illusion – one that begins to convince your subconscious mind that it just may be plausible.
 
Finally, the magician directs your attention away from the site of the actual trick -- usually with something you can’t ignore.  The dove flies out of the hat. Or the magician uses comedy because, it turns out, recent neuroscience has found that humor suppresses attention.  Or maybe he separates the actual trick from the illusion in time, by completing the trick during the apparent preparation.
 
Then the magician – or the con man – presents you with an illusion that you believe.
 
We pay to see magicians because we want to be deceived and made to believe.   A magician convinces you that her assistant has been made to disappear – and you can’t prove it isn’t true until you see her walk out of the stage door after the performance – and you love it.
 
The con man is a different matter – with the con man, you’re furious to learn, often well after the fact, that you have been defrauded and scammed.
 
I’ll give him this: by winning the Presidency, Donald Trump showed himself to be one of the greatest con men of all time.  He conned many ordinary Americans into electing him President of the United States because they became convinced that he is on their side, when nothing could be further from the truth.
 
The good news is that, as President Obama said in his farewell address, reality has a way of catching up with you. 
 
Of course, winning the White House was not Donald Trump’s first con.  Like Henry Gondorff, Paul Newman’s character in “the Sting”, there were many and varied dotting his career.  Perhaps the most notorious was “Trump University” – a scheme so transparently fraudulent that he was forced to settle a lawsuit by paying victimized “students” $25 million before he assumed the Presidency. While he was busy trying to convince working people that he was on their side, he made his ties, his shirts, his perfume, his cuff links, his furniture and many of his other goods in low wage countries like Bangladesh, China, and Honduras.  And his hotels were using every tactic in the book to resist allowing his workers to unionize and negotiate over their wages and working conditions.
 
The ordinary working people who were conned by Trump in the big “presidential con” will not realize they were conned simply because people like me tell them they were duped.  Nobody wants to believe they were conned and telling them so will not be convincing.
 
But many of them will come to believe it on their own as they watch what he does rather than what he says in the months ahead.
 
In his dark inaugural address, Trump said that his administration would transfer power from the “elites” back to the American people.
 
But between that speech and the inaugural balls, Trump was busy signing an executive order aimed at beginning the process of taking health care away from what the Congressional Budget Office says would be 32 million ordinary Americans.
 
And he signed another order that would raise the cost of mortgage insurance by $500 per year for many first-time middle and lower income home-buyers.  Now Donald, that doesn’t sound much like standing up for ordinary Americans on the very first day of your presidency.
 
Meanwhile, Trump has appointed the most billionaire-laden cabinet in memory.  After promising to be a champion for ordinary people as an outsider, he has appointed the most insider cabinet imaginable -- what Senator Claire McCaskill referred to as a “three G Cabinet” – “Goldman (Sachs), Generals and Gazillionaires”.   And it includes many nominees who want to destroy the missions of their Departments – from environmental programs, to public education – all to benefit big corporations and the wealthy. Really?  That’s looking out for ordinary people?
 
And speaking of benefiting big corporations and the wealthy, Trump has actually proposed a gigantic tax cut for big corporations and wealthy people -- like his family.  That includes eliminating the inheritance tax that only applies to the sons and daughters of multi-millionaires like his kids.  Of course we don’t know how much they would actually benefit, since – because he won’t release his tax returns – we have no idea what he is actually worth.
 
But none of that will stop his populist rhetoric – or his fake stories about bringing jobs back to this city or that.  Like the con man that he is, he wants us to be distracted by shiny objects like the “wall” on the Mexican border, not the money he takes from the pockets of ordinary people.
 
In his inaugural address, Trump said, “The wealth of our middle class has been ripped from their homes and then redistributed across the entire world.”
 
Another con.  America’s trade policies often have not benefited the middle class.  But it isn’t because they so massively advantaged other countries.  It’s because they enhanced the power of huge corporations, CEO’s and the wealthy, relative to ordinary workers, in the U.S. and around the world.
 
In fact, America is wealthier today than it is ever been – wealthier than any other country on earth. America’s gross domestic product per person has increased 48% over the last 30 years.  That means all of us should be 48% better off than we were 30 years ago.  But ordinary people’s incomes have stagnated.  That’s not because all that money has flowed to foreign corporations.  It's because it has mainly been siphoned off by America’s billionaire class – people like Donald Trump.
 
Oxfam recently released a study showing that eight men control as much wealth as half of the world’s population combined.  Six of these are Americans. 
 
An Oxfam study also found that one percent of the world’s population now controls as much wealth as all of the other 99% combined.
 
The famous bank robber Willy Sutton said he robbed banks because, “that’s where the money is.”  When you want to know the reason that ordinary people’s incomes have stagnated, look at who got the money.
 
It wasn’t immigrants, or poor people, or people who don’t look like the belong in a Norman Rockwell painting who got all of that money.  Those Trump targets are nothing more than " shiny objects" intended to district us from what is really going on in Trump’s big con. Trump wants us to pay attention to them, while he and his billionaire pals that now run the government make off with all the loot.
 
Luckily, it isn’t taking long for people to begin to figure this out.
 
In the 45 years I have been working in progressive politics, I have never seen such a massive popular mobilization as the ones we have begun to see since the Trump election.  There were major mobilizations in the Civil Rights movement, against the wars in Viet Nam and Iraq, but never the kind of spontaneous energy that has exploded over the last several months.
 
A week and a half ago, it was a massive outpouring at rallies across the country demanding that Congress prevent Trump from taking way their health care coverage that has been made available by the Affordable Care Act.
 
This last weekend it was the astonishing mobilization of millions of women and their male supporters at the Women’s March in Washington, D. C, all around the country – and all over the world.
 
I attended the massive 250,000 person march in Chicago.  My wife, Congresswoman Jan Schakowsky joined the half million marchers in Washington.
 
Among the slogans on the thousands of homemade signs were:
 
“Never underestimate the power of extremely pissed-off women.”
 
“ I no longer accept the things I cannot change – I’m changing the things I cannot accept.”
 
“GOP: If you kill the ACA – you will all have hell to pay.”
 
“ My kitchen cabinet is more qualified than your presidential cabinet.”
 
“Fight like a girl.”
 
Respetar mi existencia o esperar mi resistencia” (Respect my existence or expect my resistance).
 
"Love not hate makes America great.”
 
“ Grab them by the emoluments – resist Trump”
 
“Nyet Trump”
 
“Yes We Can.”
 
From the Statue of Liberty: “Give me your tired, your poor – I lift my lamp before our golden door.”
 
And my favorite – was a mutation of failed GOP Presidential candidate Barry Goldwater’s famous 1964 slogan, “In Your Heart You Know He’s Right.”: 
 
“In Your Gut You Know He’s Nuts.”
 
But of course Trump isn’t nuts at all.  He’s crazy like a fox – like a great con man who has just made the sting of a lifetime.
 
There is of course one thing.  Most great con men are cool as a cucumber.  Trump’s Achilles heel is that he can’t let any slight pass.  He is a pathological narcissist.  That may be one of the reasons why Trump’s “marks” wake up to the fact that he intends to empty their pockets well before he and his billionaire friends have finished the job.

 
Robert Creamer is a long-time political organizer and strategist, and author of the book:  Stand Up Straight: How Progressives Can Win, available on Amazon.com. He is a partner in Democracy Partners and a Senior Strategist for Americans United for Change. Follow him on Twitter @rbcreamer.

Browse articles by author

More Current Affairs

Oct 7th 2022
EXTRACTS: "While some Russians have opposed the attack on Ukraine from the outset and publicly protested against the mobilisation that has just been declared, others, on the far right, feel that Russia is holding back too much and are increasingly calling for total mobilisation, the carpet-bombing of Ukrainian cities, and even the use of nuclear weapons." ----- "Will the Kremlin be able to channel the growing warmongering zeal? In view of the intensity of the rhetoric of the various wings of the Russian far right, backed recently by several Putin allies including the Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov, it is doubtful: whatever the outcome of the war in Ukraine, nationalist pressure is likely to become a serious and lasting threat to Russia’s internal stability."
Oct 3rd 2022
EXTRACT: "But US and global equities have not yet fully priced in even a mild and short hard landing. Equities will fall by about 30% in a mild recession, and by 40% or more in the severe stagflationary debt crisis that I have predicted for the global economy. Signs of strain in debt markets are mounting: sovereign spreads and long-term bond rates are rising, and high-yield spreads are increasing sharply; leveraged-loan and collateralized-loan-obligation markets are shutting down; highly indebted firms, shadow banks, households, governments, and countries are entering debt distress. The crisis is here."
Sep 29th 2022
EXTRACTS "Ever since she became a prominent political figure 12 years ago, Truss has been a shapeshifter. She started as a Liberal Democrat before becoming a Conservative, and she voted to remain in the European Union before championing Brexit. As a minister, it is hard to think of anything she accomplished. She signed a few EU trade deals as Secretary of State for International Trade, but most of those were rollovers." --- "But if until recently it seemed that Truss was driven solely by political ambition, her government’s 'mini-budget' proposal sheds light on her deeper ideological affinities."
Sep 20th 2022
EXTRACT: "Russia’s focus on Ukraine and Putin’s choice to frame this as a civilisational struggle with the west has created opportunities for China to enhance its influence elsewhere – at Russia’s expense."
Sep 20th 2022
EXTRACTS: ”The Ukrainian army is making spectacular advances,” --- “…the European Union has fully mobilized to confront the energy crisis.” ---- “we are helping our partners in the Global South to handle the fallout from Russia’s brutal aggression and cynical weaponization of energy and food.” ---- “In short: the overall strategy is working. We must continue to support Ukraine, pressure Russia with sanctions, and help our global partners in a spirit of solidarity.”
Sep 8th 2022
EXTRACT: "In 1950, a team of sociologists, including the philosopher Theodor Adorno, conducted an empirical study, later published as The Authoritarian Personality, which ....... “If a potentially fascistic individual exists, what, precisely, is he like? What goes to make up antidemocratic thought? What are the organizing forces within the person?... what have been the determinants and what is the course of his development?”
Aug 29th 2022
EXTRACT: "Russian aggression certainly poses a threat; but it is a familiar one that we know how to deal with. Rising temperatures, dry riverbeds, parched landscapes, falling crop yields, acute energy shortages, and disruptions to industrial production are something else."
Aug 25th 2022
EXTRACTS: "As the revolutionary founder of a new Chinese state, Mao emphasized ideology over development. For Deng and his successors, it was the opposite: De-emphasis of ideology was viewed as necessary to boost economic growth through market-based 'reform and opening up.' Then came Xi. Initially, there was hope that his so-called 'Third Plenum Reforms' of 2013 would usher in a new era of strong economic performance. But the new ideological campaigns carried out under the general rubric of Xi Jinping Thought, including a regulatory clampdown on once-dynamic Internet platform companies and associated restrictions on online gaming, music, and private tutoring, as well as a zero-COVID policy that has led to never-ending lockdowns, have all but dashed those hopes." ----- "With the upcoming 20th Party Congress likely to usher in an unprecedented third five-year term for Xi, there is good reason to believe that China’s growth sacrifice has only just begun."
Aug 23rd 2022
EXTRACTS: "Less widely noted, however, is that the prices of many commodities fell this summer. The price of oil decreased by about 30% between early June and mid-August. The politically sensitive price of gasoline in the United States fell by 20% over the same period, from $5 per gallon to $4 per gallon. The overall index fell 12%." ---- "There are two macroeconomic reasons to think that commodity prices in general will fall further. The level of economic activity is a self-evidently important determinant of demand for commodities and therefore of their prices. Less obviously, the real interest rate is another key factor. And the current outlook for both global growth and real interest rates suggests a downward path for commodity prices."
Aug 22nd 2022
EXTRACT: "How Trump planned to use the classified documents remains a question that investigators presumably have made a high priority. Depending on the answer and the resulting charges, if any, one thing is certain: Trump will play hardball, including by amplifying his claims of victimhood at the hands of the fictional Deep State, and denying any wrongdoing in purloining the documents. His lies and hyperbole, however, don’t preclude seeking a plea deal. In his previous tangles with the law, such as his Trump University scam, he agreed to compensate the victims (in that case $25 million) after his prevarications were exhausted."
Aug 21st 2022
"On one side, there is the foreign secretary, Liz Truss, for whom all but the most partisan Tory would struggle to count many successes during her lengthy cabinet career." ---- "Rishi Sunak, whose proposed policies appear more attuned to the imperative of tackling inflation and the hardship it is causing. But on the big issues of the past few years, Sunak has been wrong. He backed Brexit from the beginning, denies the damage it is doing, and enthusiastically supported Johnson’s bid for the premiership." ---- " Which of these two can offer honesty to the British people, who deserve to be treated like grown-ups? To paraphrase the US Democratic politician Adlai Stevenson, the average man and woman are better than average."
Aug 10th 2022
EXTRACT: "Central banks are thus locked in a “debt trap”: any attempt to normalize monetary policy will cause debt-servicing burdens to spike, leading to massive insolvencies, cascading financial crises, and fallout in the real economy. ---- With governments unable to reduce high debts and deficits by spending less or raising revenues, those that can borrow in their own currency will increasingly resort to the “inflation tax”: relying on unexpected price growth to wipe out long-term nominal liabilities at fixed rates."
Jul 29th 2022
EXTRACT: ".... the likelihood is that Biden, who spent his life as a senator, played a central behind-the-scenes role in turning Manchin around and keeping the Democratic Party Senators together on this pared-down version of Build Back Better. Biden’s legislative accomplishments, not to mention his administrative ones, will likely end up being very impressive for the first two years of his presidency. ------ In matters of climate, every ton of CO2 you don’t put into the atmosphere is a decrease in how hard life will be for our grandchildren. They will have reason to be grateful to President Biden and the Democratic Party if this bill becomes law."
Jul 29th 2022
EXTRACTS: "Right-wing media outlets including Fox News, One America News (OAN), Newsmax, and talk radio are grossly abusing the right to free speech and are causing profound, if not irreparable damage to our country at home and abroad. They have been engaged in these deliberate practices of spreading poisonous misinformation all in the name of free speech." ---- "A team at MIT, analyzing propaganda techniques in the news, underscores the use of logical fallacies – such as strawmen (the misrepresentation of the other’s position), red herrings (the provision of irrelevancies), false dichotomies (offering two alternatives as the only possibilities), and whataboutism (a diversionary tactic to avoid directly addressing an issue). ---- Whataboutism is worth considering more closely because it is becoming ubiquitous among Republicans – perhaps this is not surprising given that it is certainly Trump’s “favorite dodge.” It is one of the fundamental rules by which he operates: when you are criticized, say that someone else is worse. In an interview with Trump, Bill O’Reilly states the obvious fact that “Putin is a killer,” and who can forget Trump’s response: “There are a lot of killers. You got a lot of killers. What, you think our country is so innocent?” That is classic whataboutism. And it is also of course all over Fox News’ most popular line-up."
Jul 24th 2022
EXTRACTS: "For three hours, against the unequivocal advice of his counsel, friends, and family, Trump purposefully and steadfastly declined to give the mob he had summoned any signal to disperse, to exit the building peacefully, or to simply cease threatening the life of his vice president or other members of Congress." ------ "Trump is corrupt to the core, a traitor who deserves nothing but contempt and to spend the rest of his life behind bars because he remains a menace to this country and an existential threat to our democratic institutions."
Jul 21st 2022
EXTRACT: "For some countries, diasporas also are not new. Just ask the Russians. For three-quarters of a century, Stalin’s NKVD and its successor, the KGB, kept close tabs on expatriate Russians, constantly worrying about the threat they might pose. And now, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s security service, the FSB, is continuing the tradition. According to recent FSB estimates, almost four million Russians left the country in the first three months of this year. Obviously, FSB statistics are hard to verify. But the sheer magnitude of this year’s departures is striking."
Jul 20th 2022
EXTRACTS: "We need leaders who will be honest about our problems in the short, medium, and long term. We are becoming poorer than our neighbors, with our per capita growth and productivity lagging behind theirs. We confront surging energy prices, soaring inflation, and public-sector strikes. Our fiscal deficit is uncomfortably high. Our influence is diminished. Far from recognizing these challenges, let alone proposing sensible solutions, the candidates to succeed Johnson are trying to win votes with reckless proposals like ever-larger tax cuts." ----- "There is one exception. Former Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak refuses to abandon the notion that expenditure should bear some relationship to revenue. "
Jul 13th 2022
EXTRACT: "Looking ahead, five factors could make today’s energy crisis even worse. First, Putin has opened a second front in the conflict by cutting back on the contracted volumes of natural gas that Russia supplies to Europe. The goal is to prevent Europeans from storing enough supplies for next winter, and to drive prices higher, creating economic hardship and political discord. In his speech in June at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Putin made his reasoning clear: “Social and economic problems worsening in Europe” will “split their societies” and “inevitably lead to populism … and a change of the elites in the short term.” ...... As it is, Germany is now anticipating the need for gas rationing, and its minister for economic affairs, Robert Habeck, warns of a “Lehman-style contagion” (referring to the 2008 financial crisis) if Europe cannot manage today’s energy-induced economic disruptions."
Jul 5th 2022
EXTRACT: "Fortunately, I am not alone in claiming that the survival of democracy in the US is gravely endangered. The American public has been aroused by the decision overturning Roe. But people need to recognize that decision for what it is: part of a carefully laid plan to turn the US into a repressive regime. We must do everything we can to prevent that. This fight ought to include many people who voted for Trump in the past."
Jul 2nd 2022
EXTRACT: "The Israeli philosopher Avishai Margalit described this succinctly in his book On Compromise and Rotten Compromises. In “politics as economics,” material interests are “subject to bargaining, everything is negotiable, whereas in the religious picture, centered on the idea of the holy, the holy is non-negotiable.” This, then, is why politics in the US is now in such a perilous state. More and more, the secular left and the religious right are engaged in a culture war, revolving around sexuality, gender, and race, where politics is no longer negotiable. When that happens, institutions start breaking down, and the stage is set for charismatic demagogues and the politics of violence."